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Ascot United vs Merstham

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
King S.
62' Event
75' Event
Senior B.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Ascot United and Merstham finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Merstham.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ascot United
20%
Draws
32%
Merstham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascot United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Ascot United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 32% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ascot United Clean Sheet 14%
Merstham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ascot United Merstham
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 10 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.48 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2024 FA Trophy
Ascot United vs Merstham
5:0
Jul 9, 2024 Club Friendly
Ascot United vs Merstham
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ascot United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Merstham Compare

Top Goalscorer King S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Senior B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ascot United 35 / 100
Merstham 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ascot United Merstham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Merstham let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ascot United scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

Away concern: Merstham has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ascot United VS Merstham
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ascot United

(Home)
20 Sept
Hadley
3 : 2
Ascot United
05 Sept
Ascot United
2 : 0
Three Bridges
30 Aug
Soul Tower Hamlets
4 : 1
Ascot United
11 Jul
Ascot United
2 : 5
Farnborough
05 Jul
Ascot United
0 : 1
Hampton & Richmond
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Merstham

(Away)
06 Sept
Kingstonian
1 : 0
Merstham
02 Aug
Merstham
1 : 4
Carshalton
12 Jul
Bedfont Sports
0 : 0
Merstham
05 Jul
Walton & Hersham
0 : 0
Merstham
14 Sept
Tonbridge
2 : 1
Merstham
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