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ASD Modica Calcio vs Reggina

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
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Match Events

31' Event
Girasole R.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I game between ASD Modica Calcio and Reggina finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Reggina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
ASD Modica Calcio
15%
Draws
67%
Reggina
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Reggina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Reggina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Reggina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 33.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.200000000000003%
ASD Modica Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Reggina Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASD Modica Calcio Reggina
Matches Played 5 33
Wins 1 25
Draws 1 5
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 0.6 1.7
Goals Conceded 1 0.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group I
ASD Modica Calcio vs Reggina
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASD Modica Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Reggina Compare

Top Goalscorer Girasole R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.65

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASD Modica Calcio 10 / 100
Reggina 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASD Modica Calcio Reggina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Reggina Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASD Modica Calcio's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 5 recent games.

Reggina's defensive record shows goals conceded in 30% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

ASD Modica Calcio has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASD Modica Calcio VS Reggina
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.5
17% Over 1.5 50%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASD Modica Calcio

(Home)
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2
ASD Modica Calcio

Reggina

(Away)
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Lamezia
0 : 3
Reggina
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
13 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
0 : 1
Reggina
06 Sept
Reggina
5 : 0
Licata
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 5 5 0 0 15:0 15
2 Sambiase 5 4 1 0 9:3 13
3 Vibonese 5 3 1 1 13:5 10
4 Igea Virtus 5 3 1 1 13:10 10
5 Digiesse PraiaTortora 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
6 Calcio Avola 5 3 0 2 8:10 9
7 Licata 5 2 2 1 6:7 8
8 Athletic Palermo 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
9 Nissa 5 2 1 2 8:8 7
10 Milazzo 5 2 0 3 4:8 6
11 Siracusa 5 3 2 0 8:4 4
12 Castrumfavara 5 1 1 3 5:5 4
13 ASD Modica Calcio 5 1 1 3 3:5 4
14 Gela 5 1 1 3 4:6 3
15 USD Ragusa 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
16 Lamezia 5 0 2 3 5:13 2
17 Enna 5 0 1 4 0:12 1
18 Trapani 5 1 0 4 2:10 -2
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)