Sport Picks
ASD Ugento vs Virtus Francavilla Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
ASD Ugento in this Serie D - Group H 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASD Ugento.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Virtus Francavilla have won more games recently than ASD Ugento.
- Virtus Francavilla are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | ASD Ugento | Virtus Francavilla |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.35 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.63 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
ASD Ugento Compare
Virtus Francavilla Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ASD Ugento found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Virtus Francavilla has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.
H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: ASD Ugento stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
ASD Ugento
(Home)Virtus Francavilla
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casarano | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 72:30 | 74 |
| 2 | Nocerina | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 64:27 | 70 |
| 3 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 48:28 | 62 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:29 | 57 |
| 5 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 45:32 | 50 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 51:47 | 49 |
| 7 | Virtus Francavilla | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 41:34 | 47 |
| 8 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 47:45 | 47 |
| 9 | Ischia | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 39:45 | 45 |
| 10 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 41:45 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:46 | 42 |
| 12 | Francavilla | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 28:34 | 41 |
| 13 | Acerrana | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:50 | 41 |
| 14 | ASD Ugento | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:51 | 37 |
| 15 | Manfredonia | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 33:51 | 35 |
| 16 | Brindisi | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 44:43 | 27 |
| 17 | Angri | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 35:69 | 26 |
| 18 | Costa Amalfi | 34 | 3 | 11 | 20 | 26:62 | 20 |
