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ASEC Mimosas vs Academie de FAD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASEC Mimosas host Academie de FAD in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. ASEC Mimosas have averaged 1.45 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Academie de FAD's 1.41 scored and 1 conceded. Head-to-head, ASEC Mimosas have won 2 to Academie de FAD's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 8, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.69) back ASEC Mimosas to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
ASEC Mimosas
35%
Draws
35%
Academie de FAD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Academie de FAD haven't matched ASEC Mimosas's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 13%
Academie de FAD Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASEC Mimosas Academie de FAD
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.45 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2026 Ligue 1
Academie de FAD vs ASEC Mimosas
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Academie de FAD
1:0
Feb 9, 2025 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Academie de FAD
1:2
Sep 29, 2024 Ligue 1
Academie de FAD vs ASEC Mimosas
2:0
Apr 11, 2024 Ligue 1
Academie de FAD vs ASEC Mimosas
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASEC Mimosas 31 / 100
Academie de FAD 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASEC Mimosas Academie de FAD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASEC Mimosas found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Academie de FAD conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

ASEC Mimosas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASEC Mimosas VS Academie de FAD
1 Goals Scored 2.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

ASEC Mimosas

(Home)
04 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 0
Stella Adjame
26 Sept
Yamoussoukro
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
06 Sept
ASC Kara
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2
Medeama
Page 1 of 6

Academie de FAD

(Away)
04 Oct
Academie de FAD
1 : 1
SO Armee
27 Sept
Bouake
2 : 1
Academie de FAD
12 Sept
East End Lions
2 : 2
Academie de FAD
06 Sept
Academie de FAD
1 : 1
East End Lions
24 May
SOL
0 : 2
Academie de FAD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Yamoussoukro 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 SO Armee 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
3 Zoman 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 ISCA 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
5 San Pedro 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
6 SOL 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
7 Agboville 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
8 Bouake 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
9 Stade d'Abidjan 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
10 Academie de FAD 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
11 Stella Adjame 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
12 Korhogo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
13 ASEC Mimosas 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
14 Mouna 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
15 Tchologo 2 0 1 1 0:2 1
16 Adiake 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)