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ASEC Mimosas vs Bouake

Ivory Coast Ivory Coast

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between ASEC Mimosas and Bouake finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASEC Mimosas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
ASEC Mimosas
30%
Draws
41%
Bouake
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bouake

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Bouake haven't matched ASEC Mimosas's recent run of results.
  • ASEC Mimosas are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 20%
Bouake Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASEC Mimosas Bouake
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.58 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Ligue 1
Bouake vs ASEC Mimosas
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Bouake
2:0
May 11, 2025 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Bouake
2:0
Dec 28, 2024 Ligue 1
Bouake vs ASEC Mimosas
0:0
Apr 18, 2024 Ligue 1
ASEC Mimosas vs Bouake
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASEC Mimosas 42 / 100
Bouake 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASEC Mimosas Bouake

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASEC Mimosas found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (31 games).

ASEC Mimosas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bouake let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASEC Mimosas VS Bouake
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASEC Mimosas

(Home)
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
06 Sept
ASC Kara
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
12 Aug
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 2
Medeama
24 May
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 1
Olympique Sport
17 May
Zoman
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
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Bouake

(Away)
24 May
SO Armee
0 : 0
Bouake
16 May
Bouake
1 : 2
Stella Adjame
10 May
Tchologo
2 : 1
Bouake
02 May
SOL
0 : 1
Bouake
26 Apr
Bouake
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ASEC Mimosas 30 19 5 6 50:21 62
2 San Pedro 30 14 10 6 43:32 52
3 Academie de FAD 30 14 8 8 40:24 50
4 Mouna 30 14 6 10 42:30 48
5 Tchologo 30 12 9 9 29:29 45
6 Stade d'Abidjan 30 12 7 11 30:28 43
7 Stella Adjame 30 11 9 10 28:28 42
8 SOL 30 12 3 15 33:46 39
9 Korhogo 30 10 8 12 31:32 38
10 Bouake 30 9 11 10 24:25 38
11 SO Armee 30 9 10 11 23:23 37
12 ISCA 30 10 6 14 16:27 36
13 Agboville 30 8 10 12 20:30 34
14 Zoman 30 8 9 13 20:32 33
15 Olympique Sport 30 8 8 14 27:40 32
16 Racing d'Abidjan 30 6 9 15 24:33 27
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)