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ASEC Mimosas vs Maghreb Fez - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Stade Félix Houphouët-Boigny, Abidjan
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: ASEC Mimosas at 1.46 goals for, 0.68 against; Maghreb Fez at 1.21 for, 0.69 against. Head-to-head, ASEC Mimosas have won 0 to Maghreb Fez's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.19, favoring ASEC Mimosas. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ASEC Mimosas
35%
Draws
37%
Maghreb Fez
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Maghreb Fez

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASEC Mimosas lately — more wins on the board than Maghreb Fez.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • ASEC Mimosas have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
ASEC Mimosas Clean Sheet 20%
Maghreb Fez Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASEC Mimosas Maghreb Fez
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 5 5
Goals Scored 1.46 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.69
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2026 CAF Champions League
Maghreb Fez vs ASEC Mimosas
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASEC Mimosas 32 / 100
Maghreb Fez 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASEC Mimosas Maghreb Fez

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASEC Mimosas found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ASEC Mimosas has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Maghreb Fez let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

ASEC Mimosas VS Maghreb Fez
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASEC Mimosas

(Home)
18 Oct
Maghreb Fez
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
10 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
1 : 1
Academie de FAD
04 Oct
ASEC Mimosas
0 : 0
Stella Adjame
26 Sept
Yamoussoukro
1 : 0
ASEC Mimosas
13 Sept
ASEC Mimosas
2 : 1
ASC Kara
Page 1 of 6

Maghreb Fez

(Away)
18 Oct
Maghreb Fez
1 : 1
ASEC Mimosas
14 Oct
IR Tanger
2 : 1
Maghreb Fez
08 Oct
Maghreb Fez
0 : 0
Raja Casablanca
03 Oct
Hassania Agadir
1 : 2
Maghreb Fez
27 Sept
Maghreb Fez
2 : 1
Renaissance Zemamra
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Wiliete 5
Foresters 0
TBD -
Mamelodi Sundowns -
Scottland 1
Nsingizini Hotspurs 0
UD Songo 2
Petro Atletico 3
Mangasport 3
African Stars 3
La Cure Waves 1
Orlando Pirates 3
15 de Agosto 5
Fomboni 0
Mighty Wanderers FC 1
Simba 7
CFFA 3
Lijabatho 1
Gaborone Utd 2
Young Africans 3
Asswehly 4
KVZ 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
Aigles du Congo 1
APR 3
Port 1
Zamalek 6
EL Merriekh Bentiu 4
Heegan 0
Mahia 1
Pyramids 7
Aiglons 0
Sidama Bunna 3
Aigle Noir 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 3
Star Sport Academy 1
Medina United 1
TBD -
Berkane -
Maghreb Fez 4
Rahimo 1
ASC Kara 2
ASEC Mimosas 3
Canchungo 0
Teungueth 2
Colombe 1
Stade Malien 0
Rangers International 3
Sobemap 2
Nigelec 0
MC Alger 5
San Pedro 3
Rivers United 3
Vipers 1
Nouadhibou 1
Saoura 2
Horoya 3
Al Merreikh 2
Power Dynamos 0
Medeama 1
Mazembe 4
Club Africain 3
Djoliba 2
Final
Wiliete 0
Mamelodi Sundowns 0
Scottland 2
Petro Atletico 0
African Stars 0
Orlando Pirates 1
15 de Agosto -
Simba -
CFFA 0
Young Africans 4
Asswehly 1
Esperance Tunis 0
APR 0
Zamalek 1
EL Merriekh Bentiu 0
Pyramids 1
Sidama Bunna 0
Al Hilal Omdurman 2
Star Sport Academy 0
Berkane 2
Maghreb Fez 1
ASEC Mimosas 1
Teungueth 0
Colombe 2
Rangers International 2
MC Alger 0
San Pedro 2
Nouadhibou 1
Horoya 1
Al Merreikh 0
Mazembe 1
Club Africain 1