Sport Picks
Asenovets vs Dimitrovgrad Prediction & H2H Stats
Bulgaria
Third League - South-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Asenovets in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asenovets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
30%
20%
50%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Dimitrovgrad
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Dimitrovgrad have won more games recently than Asenovets.
- Dimitrovgrad are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 61.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Dimitrovgrad Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asenovets | Dimitrovgrad |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 21 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.73 | 2.62 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0
Sep 5, 2025 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Asenovets
3:1
Apr 9, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Dimitrovgrad
1:0
Sep 21, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Asenovets
0:1
Feb 17, 2024 Third League - South-East
Dimitrovgrad vs Asenovets
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asenovets 10 / 100
Dimitrovgrad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asenovets Dimitrovgrad
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Dimitrovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Dimitrovgrad has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.
Asenovets scored in 60% of their last 30 games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Asenovets remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Asenovets VS Dimitrovgrad
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
3.6 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Asenovets
(Home) 27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1 Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2 Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1 Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0 Asenovets
Page 1 of 6
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2 Rozova Dolina
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
02 May
Asenovets
1 : 5 Levski Karlovo
25 Apr
Asenovets
1 : 4 Sozopol
09 Apr
Asenovets
2 : 1 Sekirovo Rakovski
Page 1 of 4
Dimitrovgrad
(Away) 03 Oct
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 0 Maritsa Plovdiv
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
19 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
0 : 3 OFC Haskovo
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Rozova Dolina
2 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
12 Sept
Yambol 1915
2 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
29 Aug
Sozopol
3 : 1 Dimitrovgrad
15 Aug
Krumovgrad
4 : 3 Dimitrovgrad
29 May
Atletik Kuklen
3 : 2 Dimitrovgrad
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
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