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Asenovets vs Levski Karlovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Asenovets and Levski Karlovo finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Levski Karlovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Asenovets
6%
Draws
90%
Levski Karlovo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Levski Karlovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Levski Karlovo come out ahead of Asenovets on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Levski Karlovo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Levski Karlovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Levski Karlovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.5 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Levski Karlovo
1:5
Oct 25, 2025 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Asenovets
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Levski Karlovo
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-East
Levski Karlovo vs Asenovets
3:0
Mar 16, 2024 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Levski Karlovo
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 10 / 100
Levski Karlovo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Levski Karlovo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Levski Karlovo let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Asenovets's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Asenovets has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS Levski Karlovo
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nesebar362943116:2291
2Maritsa Plovdiv36236790:4075
3Neftochimic Burgas36199853:3966
4Yambol 1915362061072:4166
5Levski Karlovo362051164:5365
6Maritsa Milevo361791064:3260
7Spartak Plovdiv361591264:5854
8Sozopol361661450:3854
9OFC Haskovo361571452:4852
10Zagorets3613101352:6049
11Rozova Dolina361461645:5248
12Gigant Saedinenie361451756:5947
13Rodopa Smolyan361441851:7046
14Atletik Kuklen361332043:7842
15Sekirovo Rakovski36981930:5335
16Dimitrovgrad361052142:8235
17Lok. Plovdiv II36962144:5333
18Rakovski 201136832546:9427
19Asenovets36652530:9223