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Asenovets vs Lok. Plovdiv II Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2025/2026 game between Asenovets and Lok. Plovdiv II finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lok. Plovdiv II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Asenovets
15%
Draws
49%
Lok. Plovdiv II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lok. Plovdiv II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Lok. Plovdiv II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Lok. Plovdiv II are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 42.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Lok. Plovdiv II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Lok. Plovdiv II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 18
Goals Scored 0.8 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.6 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2026 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Asenovets
3:0
May 10, 2025 Third League - South-East
Lok. Plovdiv II vs Asenovets
5:1
Nov 3, 2024 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Lok. Plovdiv II
1:0
May 31, 2024 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Lok. Plovdiv II
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 14 / 100
Lok. Plovdiv II 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Lok. Plovdiv II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lok. Plovdiv II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lok. Plovdiv II conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Asenovets's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Lok. Plovdiv II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS Lok. Plovdiv II
1.2 Goals Scored 1.25
3.6 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
80% Over 2.5 50%
60% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Asenovets

(Home)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
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Lok. Plovdiv II

(Away)
27 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
0 : 5
Maritsa Milevo
23 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
3 : 0
Lok. Plovdiv II
19 Sept
Sekirovo Rakovski
5 : 3
Lok. Plovdiv II
12 Sept
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 2
Botev II
29 Aug
Lok. Plovdiv II
2 : 0
Atletik Kuklen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nesebar 36 29 4 3 116:22 91
2 Maritsa Plovdiv 36 23 6 7 90:40 75
3 Neftochimic Burgas 36 19 9 8 53:39 66
4 Yambol 1915 36 20 6 10 72:41 66
5 Levski Karlovo 36 20 5 11 64:53 65
6 Maritsa Milevo 36 17 9 10 64:32 60
7 Spartak Plovdiv 36 15 9 12 64:58 54
8 Sozopol 36 16 6 14 50:38 54
9 OFC Haskovo 36 15 7 14 52:48 52
10 Zagorets 36 13 10 13 52:60 49
11 Rozova Dolina 36 14 6 16 45:52 48
12 Gigant Saedinenie 36 14 5 17 56:59 47
13 Rodopa Smolyan 36 14 4 18 51:70 46
14 Atletik Kuklen 36 13 3 20 43:78 42
15 Sekirovo Rakovski 36 9 8 19 30:53 35
16 Dimitrovgrad 36 10 5 21 42:82 35
17 Lok. Plovdiv II 36 9 6 21 44:53 33
18 Rakovski 2011 36 8 3 25 46:94 27
19 Asenovets 36 6 5 25 30:92 23
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