Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-East

Asenovets

4 - 2

Rozova Dolina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East game between Asenovets and Rozova Dolina finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asenovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Asenovets

28%

Draws

50%

Rozova Dolina

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Rozova Dolina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Asenovets haven't matched Rozova Dolina's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Rozova Dolina's way, sitting at 50%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Asenovets Clean Sheet 11%

Rozova Dolina Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Asenovets	Rozova Dolina
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	5	11
Draws	4	4
Losses	21	16
Goals Scored	0.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	2.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-East

Asenovets vs Rozova Dolina

Possession: 43% - 45% Cards: 4 - 0

4:2

Nov 22, 2025 Third League - South-East

Rozova Dolina vs Asenovets

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 3 - 1

4:0

Feb 15, 2025 Third League - South-East

Asenovets vs Rozova Dolina

Possession: 57% - 48% Cards: 1 - 4

1:5

Aug 3, 2024 Third League - South-East

Rozova Dolina vs Asenovets

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

May 18, 2024 Third League - South-East

Asenovets vs Rozova Dolina

Possession: 53% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 22 / 100

Rozova Dolina 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Asenovets Rozova Dolina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KAZ Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Asenovets found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Rozova Dolina conceded in 71% of 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Rozova Dolina registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS Rozova Dolina

0.5 Goals Scored 0.88

2.75 Goals Conceded 2

88% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nesebar	36	29	4	3	116:22	91
2	Maritsa Plovdiv	36	23	6	7	90:40	75
3	Neftochimic Burgas	36	19	9	8	53:39	66
4	Yambol 1915	36	20	6	10	72:41	66
5	Levski Karlovo	36	20	5	11	64:53	65
6	Maritsa Milevo	36	17	9	10	64:32	60
7	Spartak Plovdiv	36	15	9	12	64:58	54
8	Sozopol	36	16	6	14	50:38	54
9	OFC Haskovo	36	15	7	14	52:48	52
10	Zagorets	36	13	10	13	52:60	49
11	Rozova Dolina	36	14	6	16	45:52	48
12	Gigant Saedinenie	36	14	5	17	56:59	47
13	Rodopa Smolyan	36	14	4	18	51:70	46
14	Atletik Kuklen	36	13	3	20	43:78	42
15	Sekirovo Rakovski	36	9	8	19	30:53	35
16	Dimitrovgrad	36	10	5	21	42:82	35
17	Lok. Plovdiv II	36	9	6	21	44:53	33
18	Rakovski 2011	36	8	3	25	46:94	27
19	Asenovets	36	6	5	25	30:92	23