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Asenovets vs Sportist Roza

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East 2011/2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-East 2011/2012 game between Asenovets and Sportist Roza finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Asenovets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Asenovets
15%
Draws
0%
Sportist Roza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asenovets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asenovets come out ahead of Sportist Roza on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Asenovets's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-East 2011/2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 13%
Sportist Roza Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asenovets Sportist Roza
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 21 22
Goals Scored 1.03 0.57
Goals Conceded 2.53 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2012 Third League - South-East
Sportist Roza vs Asenovets
2:5
Nov 20, 2011 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Sportist Roza
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asenovets 84 / 100
Sportist Roza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asenovets Sportist Roza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asenovets Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportist Roza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Sportist Roza's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Asenovets scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Asenovets VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Asenovets

(Home)
27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1
Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2
Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1
Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2
Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0
Asenovets
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Sportist Roza

(Away)
01 Jun
Sportist Roza
0 : 3
Dimitrovgrad
27 May
Sozopol
7 : 0
Sportist Roza
23 May
Spartak Plovdiv
6 : 0
Sportist Roza
20 May
Sportist Roza
2 : 5
Asenovets
05 May
Yambol 1915
5 : 1
Sportist Roza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rakovski 2011 34 23 6 5 91:30 75
2 Yambol 1915 34 23 6 5 71:24 75
3 Botev Galabovo 34 19 9 6 57:23 66
4 Svilengrad 1921 34 18 11 5 68:29 65
5 Asenovets 34 19 6 9 59:54 63
6 PFC Burgas 34 17 8 9 45:34 59
7 Dimitrovgrad 34 18 4 12 64:47 58
8 Sozopol 34 17 5 12 54:31 56
9 Brestnik 34 14 8 12 60:45 50
10 Zagorets 34 14 4 16 42:40 46
11 Arda 34 13 5 16 42:49 44
12 Spartak Plovdiv 34 9 10 15 51:57 37
13 Gigant Saedinenie 34 10 6 18 45:64 36
14 Levski Karlovo 34 9 7 18 32:64 34
15 Rozova Dolina 34 8 8 18 38:60 32
16 Hebros 34 8 6 20 43:58 30
17 Sportist Roza 34 4 6 24 21:98 18
18 Chirpan 34 4 3 27 13:89 15
Promotion - B PFG 2012/2013 (Main)