Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Third League - South-East 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zagorets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Zagorets lately — more wins on the board than Asenovets.
- Zagorets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Third League - South-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Asenovets Clean Sheet 10%
Zagorets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Asenovets | Zagorets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 5 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.8 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Zagorets
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Asenovets
2:2
Mar 5, 2025 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Asenovets
8:0
Aug 10, 2024 Third League - South-East
Asenovets vs Zagorets
0:0
May 25, 2024 Third League - South-East
Zagorets vs Asenovets
5:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Asenovets 10 / 100
Zagorets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Asenovets Zagorets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zagorets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Asenovets found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).
Zagorets let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Zagorets lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Asenovets VS Zagorets
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Asenovets
(Home) 27 May
Nesebar
8 : 1 Asenovets
23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2 Rozova Dolina
16 May
Atletik Kuklen
2 : 1 Asenovets
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
09 May
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 0 Asenovets
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23 May
Asenovets
4 : 2 Rozova Dolina
13 May
Asenovets
0 : 2 Gigant Saedinenie
02 May
Asenovets
1 : 5 Levski Karlovo
25 Apr
Asenovets
1 : 4 Sozopol
09 Apr
Asenovets
2 : 1 Sekirovo Rakovski
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Zagorets
(Away) 26 Sept
Zagorets
0 : 3 Botev II
19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
12 Sept
Zagorets
4 : 3 Atletik Kuklen
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
29 Aug
Zagorets
2 : 0 Levski Karlovo
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19 Sept
Neftochimic Burgas
2 : 0 Zagorets
05 Sept
Dimitrovgrad
2 : 0 Zagorets
22 Aug
Rodopa Smolyan
1 : 3 Zagorets
08 Aug
Maritsa Plovdiv
0 : 0 Zagorets
18 Jul
Beroe
0 : 0 Zagorets
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nesebar | 36 | 29 | 4 | 3 | 116:22 | 91 |
| 2 | Maritsa Plovdiv | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 90:40 | 75 |
| 3 | Neftochimic Burgas | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 53:39 | 66 |
| 4 | Yambol 1915 | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 72:41 | 66 |
| 5 | Levski Karlovo | 36 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 64:53 | 65 |
| 6 | Maritsa Milevo | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 64:32 | 60 |
| 7 | Spartak Plovdiv | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 64:58 | 54 |
| 8 | Sozopol | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 50:38 | 54 |
| 9 | OFC Haskovo | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 52:48 | 52 |
| 10 | Zagorets | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 52:60 | 49 |
| 11 | Rozova Dolina | 36 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 45:52 | 48 |
| 12 | Gigant Saedinenie | 36 | 14 | 5 | 17 | 56:59 | 47 |
| 13 | Rodopa Smolyan | 36 | 14 | 4 | 18 | 51:70 | 46 |
| 14 | Atletik Kuklen | 36 | 13 | 3 | 20 | 43:78 | 42 |
| 15 | Sekirovo Rakovski | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 30:53 | 35 |
| 16 | Dimitrovgrad | 36 | 10 | 5 | 21 | 42:82 | 35 |
| 17 | Lok. Plovdiv II | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 44:53 | 33 |
| 18 | Rakovski 2011 | 36 | 8 | 3 | 25 | 46:94 | 27 |
| 19 | Asenovets | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 30:92 | 23 |
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)
