Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aserri vs Cariari Pococi

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Borbon J.
58' Event
Torres D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aserri
35%
Draws
29%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cariari Pococi lately — more wins on the board than Aserri.
  • Aserri are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.2%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 25 27
Wins 5 8
Draws 11 11
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.04 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
2:2
Mar 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
2:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Aserri
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Cariari Pococi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Borbon J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cariari Pococi Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 50 / 100
Cariari Pococi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cariari Pococi has conceded goals in 81% of their last 27 outings.

Aserri went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Aserri scored in 72% of their last 25 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS Cariari Pococi
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
28 Aug
Carmelita
1 : 2
Aserri
22 Aug
Aserri
1 : 1
Pitbulls
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2
Aserri
Page 1 of 5

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
13 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
Carmelita
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
21 Aug
FC Moravia
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
08 Aug
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Cariari Pococi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 6 4 2 0 10:3 14
2 Grecia 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Quepos FC 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
4 AD Rosario 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
5 AD Sarchi 6 2 2 2 6:9 8
6 Santa Cruz 6 2 0 4 10:13 6
7 Cofutpa 6 0 1 5 3:11 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 6 5 0 1 11:7 15
2 Pitbulls 6 4 2 0 12:7 14
3 Aserri 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
4 Carmelita 8 2 3 3 15:11 9
5 Cariari Pococi 5 2 3 0 7:5 9
6 CS Uruguay 8 2 1 5 6:15 7
7 Guadalupe 7 1 2 4 8:12 5
8 FC Moravia 6 0 1 5 5:10 1
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)