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Aserri vs FC Moravia Prediction & H2H Stats

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
0 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aserri host FC Moravia in the Liga de Ascenso. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Aserri at 1 goals for, 1.78 against; FC Moravia at 1.25 for, 1.29 against. Head-to-head, Aserri have won 0 to FC Moravia's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 26, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.13 - 1.13) back FC Moravia to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Aserri
15%
Draws
39%
FC Moravia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • FC Moravia have won more games recently than Aserri.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors FC Moravia here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aserri Clean Sheet 68%
FC Moravia Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri FC Moravia
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 6 9
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Aserri
1:0
Aug 8, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
0:3
Mar 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
FC Moravia vs Aserri
6:2
Jan 27, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
0:0
Nov 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs FC Moravia
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 41 / 100
FC Moravia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri FC Moravia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aserri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aserri's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Moravia conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Aserri has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS FC Moravia
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
12 Sept
CS Uruguay
0 : 1
Aserri
06 Sept
Aserri
1 : 1
Cariari Pococi
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FC Moravia

(Away)
02 Oct
FC Moravia
0 : 3
Carmelita
26 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 0
Aserri
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
15 Sept
Pitbulls
3 : 2
FC Moravia
05 Sept
FC Moravia
1 : 2
Santa Ana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 9 6 3 0 15:5 21
2 Quepos FC 9 5 1 3 13:7 16
3 Grecia 8 4 2 2 9:6 14
4 AD Rosario 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
5 AD Sarchi 8 3 2 3 8:11 11
6 Santa Cruz 9 2 0 7 11:19 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 10 7 0 3 14:10 21
2 Pitbulls 10 5 4 1 18:13 19
3 Carmelita 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Aserri 10 4 2 4 10:11 14
5 Cariari Pococi 10 3 4 3 11:11 13
6 FC Moravia 10 3 1 6 12:13 10
7 Guadalupe 10 2 3 5 13:19 9
8 CS Uruguay 10 2 3 5 9:18 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)