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Aserri vs Pitbulls

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Coll K.

AI Match Summary

Aserri in this Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aserri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aserri
30%
Draws
31%
Pitbulls
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aserri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Pitbulls have won more games recently than Aserri.
  • Model gives Pitbulls a 31% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Aserri Clean Sheet 13%
Pitbulls Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aserri Pitbulls
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 4 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.96 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Aserri
0:0
Feb 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Pitbulls
1:0
Oct 23, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Aserri vs Pitbulls
1:0
Aug 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Pitbulls vs Aserri
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aserri Compare

Top Goalscorer Coll K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pitbulls Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aserri 27 / 100
Pitbulls 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aserri Pitbulls

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pitbulls Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aserri's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Pitbulls let in goals in 76% of their last 25 matches.

Solid form: Aserri remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Pitbulls's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aserri VS Pitbulls
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aserri

(Home)
15 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 2
Aserri
01 Aug
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Aserri
12 Apr
Aserri
2 : 2
Cariari Pococi
04 Apr
Escorpiones
8 : 0
Aserri
31 Mar
Aserri
0 : 0
Carmelita
Page 1 of 5

Pitbulls

(Away)
18 Aug
Pitbulls
2 : 1
CS Uruguay
11 Aug
Pitbulls
2 : 2
Guadalupe
28 Apr
Inter San Carlos
2 : 0
Pitbulls
20 Apr
Pitbulls
1 : 2
Inter San Carlos
12 Apr
FC Moravia
3 : 2
Pitbulls
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 14 9 3 2 25:12 30
2 Inter San Carlos 14 8 4 2 25:14 28
3 Quepos FC 14 9 1 4 30:21 28
4 Santa Cruz 14 4 5 5 19:17 17
5 Grecia 14 4 5 5 16:18 17
6 AD Sarchi 14 4 5 5 19:23 17
7 Cofutpa 14 2 4 8 14:27 10
8 Dep. Upala 14 0 5 9 15:31 5
9 Municipal Turrialba 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Escorpiones 14 10 2 2 33:10 32
2 CS Uruguay 14 7 2 5 25:20 23
3 Pitbulls 14 6 4 4 20:16 22
4 FC Moravia 14 5 4 5 19:19 19
5 Cariari Pococi 14 3 6 5 19:23 15
6 Aserri 14 2 8 4 15:28 14
7 Santa Ana 13 3 3 7 19:28 12
8 Carmelita 13 2 5 6 10:16 11
9 Limon Black Star 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)