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ASF Dioulasso vs Real Du Faso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Général Aboubacar Sangoulé Lamizana
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Tapsoba A.
70' Event
Sawadogo M.

AI Match Summary

ASF Dioulasso host Real Du Faso in the Premier League. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. ASF Dioulasso have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Real Du Faso's 0.63 scored and 0.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Du Faso slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2026, ending 0:2. The numbers (0.50 xG vs 0.94) point toward ASF Dioulasso. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
ASF Dioulasso
11%
Draws
80%
Real Du Faso
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Real Du Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Real Du Faso demonstrates higher offensive output (0.63 avg goals) than ASF Dioulasso (0.5 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Real Du Faso.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 24%
Real Du Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASF Dioulasso Real Du Faso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Real Du Faso
0:2
Oct 5, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASF Dioulasso
0:1
Feb 14, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Real Du Faso
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASF Dioulasso
1:1
Mar 3, 2023 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Real Du Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapsoba A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sawadogo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASF Dioulasso 13 / 100
Real Du Faso 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASF Dioulasso Real Du Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RDF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASF Dioulasso scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Real Du Faso let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

ASF Dioulasso went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Real Du Faso lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASF Dioulasso VS Real Du Faso
0.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726