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ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Général Aboubacar Sangoulé Lamizana, Bobo Dioulasso
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Sereme G. C.
Assist: Traore O.
68'
Traore O.
68'
Traore O.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ASF Dioulasso and Kadiogo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASF Dioulasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ASF Dioulasso
30%
Draws
39%
Kadiogo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kadiogo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Kadiogo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 15%
Kadiogo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASF Dioulasso Kadiogo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.86 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
1:0
Feb 21, 2026 Premier League
Kadiogo vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Dec 1, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
0:1
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Kadiogo vs ASF Dioulasso
1:0
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs Kadiogo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Sereme G. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Kadiogo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASF Dioulasso 31 / 100
Kadiogo 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASF Dioulasso Kadiogo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kadiogo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASF Dioulasso's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kadiogo let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: ASF Dioulasso remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASF Dioulasso VS Kadiogo
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASF Dioulasso

(Home)
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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Kadiogo

(Away)
04 Oct
Kadiogo
0 : 2
USFA
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Kadiogo
2 : 2
Vitesse
10 May
Kadiogo
3 : 0
Majestic
03 May
USFA
0 : 0
Kadiogo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 FocuSport 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Rahimo 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
7 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
8 Sporting Cascades 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
9 ASF Dioulasso 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
10 Sonabel Ouagadougou 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
11 Majestic 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
12 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 CFFEB 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)