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ASFA Yennega vs Real Du Faso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASFA Yennega play Real Du Faso in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASFA Yennega averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Real Du Faso averaged 0.7 goals scored and 0.77 conceded. In past meetings, ASFA Yennega won 3, Real Du Faso won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 3, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.81 for ASFA Yennega and 0.69 for Real Du Faso. This points to a ASFA Yennega double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
ASFA Yennega
32%
Draws
30%
Real Du Faso
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: ASFA Yennega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • ASFA Yennega picked up more points recently compared to Real Du Faso.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.81 vs 0.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 28%
Real Du Faso Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 34%
Second Half Goal 36%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega Real Du Faso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.8 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Real Du Faso
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASFA Yennega
0:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASFA Yennega
0:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Real Du Faso
1:1
Apr 15, 2023 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs ASFA Yennega
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Real Du Faso Compare

Top Goalscorer Tapsoba A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 40 / 100
Real Du Faso 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega Real Du Faso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASFA Yennega or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +37.5%
6.25
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASFA Yennega attacking → ← attacking Real Du Faso

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFA Yennega scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Real Du Faso let in goals in 47% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

ASFA Yennega went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Real Du Faso lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 37
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726