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ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Kabre H.
88' Event
Dao B.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ASFA Yennega and AS Douanes finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
ASFA Yennega
30%
Draws
43%
AS Douanes
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Douanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • AS Douanes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives AS Douanes a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 21%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega AS Douanes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes
0:1
Nov 2, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega
1:1
May 10, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs AS Douanes
0:1
Oct 14, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs ASFA Yennega
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabre H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

AS Douanes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 29 / 100
AS Douanes 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega AS Douanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Douanes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: AS Douanes conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

ASFA Yennega has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: ASFA Yennega scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS AS Douanes
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFA Yennega

(Home)
01 Nov
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
AS Douanes
24 Oct
CFFEB
1 : 1
ASFA Yennega
18 Oct
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
12 Oct
USFA
1 : 2
ASFA Yennega
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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AS Douanes

(Away)
01 Nov
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
AS Douanes
25 Oct
AS Douanes
2 : 0
Kadiogo
18 Oct
Salitas
1 : 4
AS Douanes
12 Oct
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Maya
03 Oct
Rahimo
1 : 2
AS Douanes
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 7 5 1 1 13:6 16
2 USFA 7 5 1 1 9:2 16
3 Vitesse 7 4 3 0 9:3 15
4 FocuSport 7 5 0 2 13:12 15
5 AS Douanes 7 4 1 2 11:6 13
6 Real Du Faso 7 3 2 2 8:6 11
7 CFFEB 7 3 2 2 10:4 11
8 ASFA Yennega 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Sporting Cascades 7 3 1 3 10:11 10
10 ASF Dioulasso 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
11 Majestic 7 2 1 4 4:8 7
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 7 2 0 5 7:7 6
13 Maya 7 1 2 4 5:10 5
14 US Comoe 7 1 1 5 3:9 4
15 Salitas 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
16 Kadiogo 7 1 1 5 5:15 4
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)