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ASFA Yennega vs ASF Dioulasso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
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Match Events

23'
Cisse C.
81' Event
Kabre H.
87' Event
Barro A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ASFA Yennega and ASF Dioulasso finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASFA Yennega.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASFA Yennega
15%
Draws
34%
ASF Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASFA Yennega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • ASF Dioulasso haven't matched ASFA Yennega's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ASFA Yennega taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 68%
ASF Dioulasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega ASF Dioulasso
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.81 0.91
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs ASF Dioulasso
2:0
Apr 3, 2026 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs ASFA Yennega
0:3
Oct 25, 2025 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs ASF Dioulasso
1:1
May 5, 2025 Premier League
ASF Dioulasso vs ASFA Yennega
0:1
Oct 17, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs ASF Dioulasso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabre H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

ASF Dioulasso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 68 / 100
ASF Dioulasso 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega ASF Dioulasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFA Yennega Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASF Dioulasso let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

ASF Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

ASFA Yennega found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS ASF Dioulasso
1 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFA Yennega

(Home)
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
28 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
19 Sept
ASFA Yennega
1 : 0
US Comoe
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
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ASF Dioulasso

(Away)
03 Oct
ASFA Yennega
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
27 Sept
ASF Dioulasso
1 : 0
Kadiogo
20 Sept
Salitas
2 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
10 May
Salitas
3 : 2
ASF Dioulasso
03 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
2 : 0
ASF Dioulasso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 Rahimo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 FocuSport 4 3 0 1 8:8 9
4 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
5 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Sonabel Ouagadougou 4 2 0 2 7:4 6
8 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
9 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Sporting Cascades 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
12 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)