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ASFA Yennega vs Sporting Cascades

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade du 4 Aout, Ouagadougou
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Ouedraogo I.
Assist: Zongo M.
90' Event
Bonkoungou K.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between ASFA Yennega and Sporting Cascades finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
ASFA Yennega
20%
Draws
38%
Sporting Cascades
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASFA Yennega

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Cascades carry the better recent record into this one.
  • ASFA Yennega are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
ASFA Yennega Clean Sheet 20%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFA Yennega Sporting Cascades
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sporting Cascades
1:1
Oct 11, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs ASFA Yennega
0:0
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs ASFA Yennega
0:0
Oct 26, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sporting Cascades
2:2
Jun 10, 2024 Premier League
ASFA Yennega vs Sporting Cascades
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASFA Yennega Compare

Top Goalscorer Bonkoungou K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sporting Cascades Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouedraogo I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFA Yennega 42 / 100
Sporting Cascades 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFA Yennega Sporting Cascades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

ASFA Yennega's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Sporting Cascades has conceded goals in 43% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: ASFA Yennega remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

ASFA Yennega VS Sporting Cascades
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFA Yennega

(Home)
10 May
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 0
ASFA Yennega
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
26 Apr
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
ASFA Yennega
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
Sporting Cascades
12 Apr
Kadiogo
0 : 1
ASFA Yennega
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cascades

(Away)
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
26 Apr
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
17 Apr
ASFA Yennega
1 : 1
Sporting Cascades
10 Apr
Salitas
2 : 1
Sporting Cascades
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)