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ASFAG vs Renaissance

Guinea Guinea

Ligue 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASFAG in this Ligue 1 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASFAG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
ASFAG
35%
Draws
43%
Renaissance
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Renaissance

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • ASFAG have won more games recently than Renaissance.
  • Model gives Renaissance a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors ASFAG here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
ASFAG Clean Sheet 20%
Renaissance Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAG Renaissance
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Renaissance
4:0
Nov 23, 2025 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs ASFAG
1:2
May 7, 2019 Ligue 1
ASFAG vs Renaissance
2:0
Feb 7, 2019 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs ASFAG
2:1
Apr 1, 2018 Ligue 1
Renaissance vs ASFAG
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAG 24 / 100
Renaissance 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAG Renaissance

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Renaissance Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAG scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Renaissance has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

ASFAG has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASFAG VS Renaissance
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAG

(Home)
22 Apr
Hafia
1 : 1
ASFAG
18 Apr
CI Kamsar
5 : 0
ASFAG
12 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 3
Ashanti GB (SAG)
08 Apr
ASFAG
2 : 2
Milo FC
04 Apr
ASFAG
1 : 1
Karfamoriah
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Renaissance

(Away)
21 Apr
Renaissance
3 : 2
Kaloum Star
17 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Loubha
13 Apr
Wakriya AC
2 : 1
Renaissance
07 Apr
Renaissance
0 : 0
Hafia
03 Apr
Renaissance
1 : 1
CI Kamsar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horoya 26 17 5 4 42:19 56
2 Hafia 26 15 7 4 34:16 52
3 CI Kamsar 26 15 3 8 37:21 48
4 Kaloum Star 26 12 8 6 31:18 44
5 Milo FC 26 11 10 5 33:18 43
6 Wakriya AC 26 8 9 9 22:26 33
7 ASFAG 26 9 5 12 31:35 32
8 Foot Elite 26 8 6 12 30:41 30
9 Sangaredi 26 7 8 11 22:28 29
10 Ashanti GB (SAG) 26 7 8 11 23:32 29
11 RCC Kamsar 26 7 7 12 25:31 28
12 Karfamoriah 26 7 7 12 24:33 28
13 Renaissance 26 6 8 12 20:35 26
14 Loubha 26 4 7 15 14:35 19
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)