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ASFAN vs Espoir

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASFAN play Espoir in the Super Ligue. It looks like a close match. Recently, ASFAN averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Espoir averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, ASFAN won 1, Espoir won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 12, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for ASFAN and 0.94 for Espoir. This points to a ASFAN double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
ASFAN
32%
Draws
27%
Espoir
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • ASFAN picked up more points recently compared to Espoir.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 24%
Espoir Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Espoir
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.27 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Espoir
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Super Ligue
Espoir vs ASFAN
0:0
May 1, 2025 Super Ligue
Espoir vs ASFAN
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Espoir
0:1
Jun 3, 2024 Super Ligue
Espoir vs ASFAN
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 42 / 100
Espoir 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Espoir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: ASFAN or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

ASFAN attacking → ← attacking Espoir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASFAN scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Espoir let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

ASFAN went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Espoir lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 37
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50