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ASFAN vs Liberte - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Niger Niger

Super Ligue Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Super Ligue matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
ASFAN
35%
Draws
25%
Liberte
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: ASFAN

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to ASFAN lately — more wins on the board than Liberte.
  • Win probability leans ASFAN's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 20%
Liberte Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Liberte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 8 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.81
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Liberte
1:1
May 2, 2026 Super Ligue
Liberte vs ASFAN
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Liberte
2:0
Apr 20, 2025 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Liberte
4:1
Feb 5, 2025 Super Ligue
Liberte vs ASFAN
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 76 / 100
Liberte 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Liberte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASFAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Liberte let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

ASFAN found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

ASFAN has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS Liberte
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
11 Oct
US Gendarmerie
2 : 1
ASFAN
04 Oct
Wombeye
1 : 1
ASFAN
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
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Liberte

(Away)
11 Oct
Liberte
1 : 2
AS Garde Nationale
04 Oct
Niima
1 : 0
Liberte
27 Sept
ASFAN
1 : 1
Liberte
18 Sept
Liberte
:
Espoir
12 Sept
Urana
0 : 0
Liberte
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 US Gendarmerie 6 6 0 0 12:2 18
2 AS Garde Nationale 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Sahel 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
4 Urana 6 3 2 1 6:7 11
5 ASFAN 6 2 3 1 8:6 9
6 Niima 6 1 4 1 5:6 7
7 Police 5 1 3 1 4:3 6
8 Wombeye 6 1 3 2 4:4 6
9 Douanes Niamey 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
10 AS UAM 6 1 3 2 3:5 6
11 Espoir 6 1 2 3 3:6 5
12 Liberte 6 1 2 3 2:6 5
13 Tagour 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Nigelec 5 0 3 2 0:2 3
15 AS ZAM 5 0 3 2 2:5 3
16 JS Tahoua 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)