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ASFAN vs Police

Niger Niger

Super Ligue 2025/2026 Stade du Camp Bagagi Iya, Niamey
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AI Match Summary

Police in this Super Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Police.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
ASFAN
35%
Draws
31%
Police
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ASFAN have won more games recently than Police.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super Ligue 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
ASFAN Clean Sheet 20%
Police Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASFAN Police
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 17 14
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.29 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.81 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Police
0:2
Nov 1, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs ASFAN
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Super Ligue
Police vs ASFAN
1:0
Nov 23, 2024 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Police
2:0
May 8, 2024 Super Ligue
ASFAN vs Police
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASFAN 32 / 100
Police 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASFAN Police

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASFAN scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Recent resilience: ASFAN stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Police conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

ASFAN VS Police
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASFAN

(Home)
19 Sept
Tagour
1 : 2
ASFAN
12 Sept
ASFAN
2 : 0
Douanes Niamey
06 Sept
Niima
1 : 1
ASFAN
18 Jun
Douanes Niamey
1 : 0
ASFAN
09 Jun
AS ZAM
0 : 2
ASFAN
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Police

(Away)
16 Sept
Police
1 : 1
Wombeye
06 Sept
Espoir
0 : 2
Police
19 Jun
AS Garde Nationale
1 : 1
Police
10 Jun
Police
0 : 0
Douanes Niamey
03 Jun
ASFAN
0 : 2
Police
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigelec 30 20 6 4 48:24 66
2 US Gendarmerie 30 17 9 4 48:17 60
3 ASFAN 30 16 7 7 38:24 55
4 AS Garde Nationale 30 14 11 5 38:21 53
5 Police 30 14 9 7 39:21 51
6 Douanes Niamey 30 12 11 7 33:21 47
7 Espoir 30 9 10 11 31:35 37
8 AS ZAM 30 10 7 13 39:46 37
9 Sahel 30 10 5 15 21:23 35
10 JS Tahoua 30 10 5 15 36:51 35
11 Tagour 30 7 12 11 32:40 33
12 Urana 30 8 9 13 28:36 33
13 Liberte 30 7 11 12 28:46 32
14 AS UAM 30 8 8 14 25:34 32
15 Olympic Niamey 30 5 10 15 24:44 25
16 Renaissance 30 4 8 18 23:48 20
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