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Asheville City vs Brave SC

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Diaz N.
59'
Henrique Gallina
73' Event
Navarro S.

AI Match Summary

Asheville City in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Asheville City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Asheville City
28%
Draws
22%
Brave SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Asheville City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Asheville City and Brave SC have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Win probability leans Asheville City's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular USL League Two 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Asheville City Clean Sheet 20%
Brave SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asheville City Brave SC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 18 18
Draws 7 6
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 21, 2024 USL League Two
Asheville City vs Brave SC
2:1
Jul 23, 2023 USL League Two
Asheville City vs Brave SC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Asheville City Compare

Top Goalscorer Navarro S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tregarthen S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Brave SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asheville City 49 / 100
Brave SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asheville City Brave SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asheville City found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Asheville City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Brave SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Asheville City VS Brave SC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Peoria IL2
Thunder Bay Chill0
Menace2
Bavarian United SC0
Flint City1
Cleveland Force0
Fort Wayne1
Midwest United0
Ballard1
Project 51O2
Almaden0
United PDX1
Tucson3
Flatirons2
Ventura2
Albion Colorado1
Lionsbridge2
Western Pioneers1
Salem City3
Virginia Beach United2
Ocean City0
Seacoast United Phantoms1
Long Island1
Vermont Green3
Asheville City4
Nona0
Brave SC2
Sarasota Paradise1
Little Rock Rangers5
AHFC Royals2
Corpus Christi FC5
Tennessee3
1/8-finals
Peoria IL6
Menace5
Flint City2
Fort Wayne1
Project 51O5
United PDX4
Tucson1
Ventura0
Lionsbridge2
Salem City0
Seacoast United Phantoms3
Vermont Green0
Asheville City2
Brave SC1
Little Rock Rangers1
Corpus Christi FC2
Quarter-finals
Peoria IL1
Flint City0
Project 51O1
Tucson2
Lionsbridge3
Seacoast United Phantoms6
Asheville City1
Corpus Christi FC0
Semi-finals
Peoria IL5
Tucson1
Seacoast United Phantoms1
Asheville City0
Final
Peoria IL2
Seacoast United Phantoms3