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Ashington vs Spennymoor

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
54' Event
Giraud C.
71' Event
Thomas E.

AI Match Summary

Ashington in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ashington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Ashington
15%
Draws
8%
Spennymoor
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Ashington at 1.85 per game, Spennymoor at 1.38.
  • 77% — that's where the model lands on Ashington taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ashington Clean Sheet 20%
Spennymoor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashington Spennymoor
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 13 13
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.85 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2024 Club Friendly
Ashington vs Spennymoor
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashington Compare

Top Goalscorer Giraud C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Spennymoor Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashington 85 / 100
Spennymoor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashington Spennymoor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashington Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Ashington scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Spennymoor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Ashington has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ashington VS Spennymoor
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashington

(Home)
29 Aug
Ashington
3 : 1
West Auckland Town
31 Aug
Crook Town
2 : 1
Ashington
30 Jul
Ashington
4 : 0
Spennymoor
27 Jul
Ashington
0 : 1
Workington
23 Jul
Morpeth
2 : 3
Ashington
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Spennymoor

(Away)
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3
Spalding United
05 Sept
Hereford
2 : 1
Spennymoor
31 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 1
Hednesford
29 Aug
Bedford
3 : 1
Spennymoor
22 Aug
Spennymoor
1 : 4
Oxford City
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