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Ashkelon vs Agudat Sport Ashdod

Israel Israel

State Cup 2024/2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ashkelon play Agudat Sport Ashdod in the State Cup 2024/2025. Agudat Sport Ashdod are favorites here. Recently, Ashkelon averaged 0.47 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. Agudat Sport Ashdod averaged 1.56 goals scored and 0.96 conceded. In past meetings, Ashkelon won 1, Agudat Sport Ashdod won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 28, 2024 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.79 for Ashkelon and 3.56 for Agudat Sport Ashdod. This points to a Agudat Sport Ashdod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Ashkelon
16%
Draws
65%
Agudat Sport Ashdod
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Agudat Sport Ashdod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Ashkelon picked up more points recently compared to Agudat Sport Ashdod.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.79 vs 3.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 86%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 53%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 10%
Agudat Sport Ashdod Clean Sheet 18%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashkelon Agudat Sport Ashdod
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 3 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.47 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.87 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 6.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 28, 2024 State Cup
Ashkelon vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
1:0
Nov 13, 2020 Club Friendly
Ashkelon vs Agudat Sport Ashdod
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashkelon 19 / 100
Agudat Sport Ashdod 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashkelon Agudat Sport Ashdod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agudat Sport Ashdod Win (2)
Secondary Pick Agudat Sport Ashdod & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +72.7%
9.09
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.9%
2.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ashkelon attacking → ← attacking Agudat Sport Ashdod

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ashkelon scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Ashkelon went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Agudat Sport Ashdod lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

13 Points in last 5 41
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
6.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.38