Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ashkelon vs Hapoel Marmorek

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Exbard I.
89' Event
Tzairi R.
90' Event
Ben Avi H.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Marmorek in this Liga Alef South 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Marmorek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Ashkelon
15%
Draws
34%
Hapoel Marmorek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashkelon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Marmorek lately — more wins on the board than Ashkelon.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Marmorek taking it.
  • Regular Liga Alef South 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Hapoel Marmorek here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.4%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 21%
Hapoel Marmorek Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashkelon Hapoel Marmorek
Matches Played 30 23
Wins 3 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 23 10
Goals Scored 0.47 1
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2022 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:3
Nov 30, 2021 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Ashkelon
3:1
May 24, 2021 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Hapoel Marmorek
0:1
Mar 24, 2021 Liga Alef South
Hapoel Marmorek vs Ashkelon
2:0
Dec 25, 2020 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Hapoel Marmorek
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashkelon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Hapoel Marmorek Compare

Top Goalscorer Exbard I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tzairi R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashkelon 10 / 100
Hapoel Marmorek 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashkelon Hapoel Marmorek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hapoel Marmorek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Marmorek has conceded goals in 74% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Hapoel Marmorek lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Ashkelon scored in 30% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hapoel Marmorek
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashkelon

(Home)
30 Dec
Maccabi Haifa
6 : 0
Ashkelon
28 Nov
Ashkelon
1 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
14 Nov
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil
0 : 2
Ashkelon
13 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
7 : 0
Ashkelon
06 Apr
Ashkelon
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Lod
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Marmorek

(Away)
23 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 2
Shimshon Tel Aviv
18 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
0 : 1
Ramat Hasharon
09 Sept
Holon Yermiyahu
1 : 0
Hapoel Marmorek
04 Sept
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 0
Hapoel Hadera
27 Feb
Hapoel Marmorek
1 : 1
Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Jaffa 34 23 6 5 66:25 75
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 34 22 7 5 74:24 73
3 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 34 21 10 3 65:27 73
4 Holon Yermiyahu 34 18 8 8 54:45 62
5 Hapoel Marmorek 34 17 8 9 52:31 59
6 Maccabi Yavne 34 14 14 6 38:27 56
7 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 34 13 9 12 35:44 48
8 Maccabi Shaarayim 34 12 10 12 39:39 46
9 FC Dimona 34 11 9 14 43:40 42
10 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 34 9 13 12 40:38 40
11 Shimshon Tel Aviv 34 11 6 17 56:57 39
12 M. Herzliya 34 9 10 15 35:41 37
13 Bnei Eilat 34 10 7 17 37:50 37
14 MS Ironi Kuseife 34 12 8 14 37:41 35
15 Hapoel Azor 34 9 6 19 50:57 33
16 Hapoel Bnei Lod 34 7 12 15 36:74 33
17 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 34 9 3 22 36:57 30
18 Ashkelon 34 3 6 25 18:94 15
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Relegation)