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Ashkelon vs Maccabi Jaffa Prediction & H2H Stats

Israel Israel

Liga Alef South 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Beit Yaakov M.
39' Event
Gabay D.
55' Event
Gabay D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef South 2021/2022 game between Ashkelon and Maccabi Jaffa finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Jaffa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ashkelon
15%
Draws
28%
Maccabi Jaffa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashkelon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Maccabi Jaffa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Maccabi Jaffa a 28% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Ashkelon Clean Sheet 19%
Maccabi Jaffa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashkelon Maccabi Jaffa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.47 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2022 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:7
Nov 9, 2021 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Jaffa vs Ashkelon
3:0
Aug 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Ashkelon vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:0
Apr 9, 2021 Liga Alef South
Ashkelon vs Maccabi Jaffa
0:4
Feb 19, 2021 Liga Alef South
Maccabi Jaffa vs Ashkelon
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashkelon Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Maccabi Jaffa Compare

Top Goalscorer Beit Yaakov M.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Gabay D.
3 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashkelon 10 / 100
Maccabi Jaffa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashkelon Maccabi Jaffa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Maccabi Jaffa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maccabi Jaffa conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Maccabi Jaffa lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Ashkelon's goal record stands at 30% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Maccabi Jaffa
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashkelon

(Home)
30 Dec
Maccabi Haifa
6 : 0
Ashkelon
28 Nov
Ashkelon
1 : 0
Agudat Sport Ashdod
14 Nov
Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil
0 : 2
Ashkelon
13 Apr
Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
7 : 0
Ashkelon
06 Apr
Ashkelon
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Lod
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Jaffa

(Away)
28 Sept
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
3 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
17 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
0 : 2
Maccabi Bnei Raina
10 Sept
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 3
H. Raanana
06 Sept
Hapoel Afula
0 : 1
Maccabi Jaffa
30 Aug
Maccabi Jaffa
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maccabi Jaffa 34 23 6 5 66:25 75
2 Hapoel Kfar Shalem 34 22 7 5 74:24 73
3 Shimshon Kafr Qasim 34 21 10 3 65:27 73
4 Holon Yermiyahu 34 18 8 8 54:45 62
5 Hapoel Marmorek 34 17 8 9 52:31 59
6 Maccabi Yavne 34 14 14 6 38:27 56
7 Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 34 13 9 12 35:44 48
8 Maccabi Shaarayim 34 12 10 12 39:39 46
9 FC Dimona 34 11 9 14 43:40 42
10 Hapoel Bikat Hayarden 34 9 13 12 40:38 40
11 Shimshon Tel Aviv 34 11 6 17 56:57 39
12 M. Herzliya 34 9 10 15 35:41 37
13 Bnei Eilat 34 10 7 17 37:50 37
14 MS Ironi Kuseife 34 12 8 14 37:41 35
15 Hapoel Azor 34 9 6 19 50:57 33
16 Hapoel Bnei Lod 34 7 12 15 36:74 33
17 Beitar Nordia Jerusalem 34 9 3 22 36:57 30
18 Ashkelon 34 3 6 25 18:94 15
Promotion - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Liga Alef North 2021/2022 (Relegation)