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Ashton Town vs Chorley Prediction & H2H Stats

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Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ellis M.
45' Event
Touray M.
(Penalty)
55' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Ashton Town and Chorley finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chorley.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Ashton Town
15%
Draws
40%
Chorley
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashton Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chorley come out ahead of Ashton Town on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ashton Town a 45% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ashton Town Clean Sheet 18%
Chorley Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ashton Town Chorley
Matches Played 3 29
Wins 2 10
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 13
Goals Scored 3.33 1.17
Goals Conceded 3 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 29, 2024 Club Friendly
Ashton Town vs Chorley
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ashton Town Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Chorley Compare

Top Goalscorer Ellis M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Preece K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ashton Town 40 / 100
Chorley 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ashton Town Chorley

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ashton Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ashton Town scored in 100% of their last 3 outings.

Chorley let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Solid form: Ashton Town remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ashton Town VS Chorley
3 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ashton Town

(Home)
25 Jul
Ashton Town
3 : 2
Annan
29 Jun
Ashton Town
2 : 3
Chorley
30 Jul
Ashton Town
5 : 4
Widnes FC

Chorley

(Away)
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1
Spalding United
19 Sept
Warrington Rylands
0 : 1
Chorley
12 Sept
King’s Lynn
2 : 0
Chorley
08 Sept
Chorley
5 : 2
Darlington FC
05 Sept
Oxford City
4 : 0
Chorley
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