Sport Picks
Ashton United vs Gainsborough Prediction & H2H Stats
England
NPL Premier Division 
Match Events
7'
7'
Butroid L.
34'
34'
Butroid L.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Johnson J.
AI Match Summary
Gainsborough in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gainsborough.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ashton United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Gainsborough at 1.47 per game, Ashton United at 1.34.
- 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ashton United Clean Sheet 16%
Gainsborough Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ashton United | Gainsborough |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.47 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Gainsborough
1:2
Feb 3, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Gainsborough
0:3
Aug 9, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Ashton United
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ashton United vs Gainsborough
0:2
Aug 17, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Gainsborough vs Ashton United
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ashton United Compare
Top Goalscorer Johnson J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Gainsborough Compare
Top Goalscorer Butroid L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ashton United 30 / 100
Gainsborough 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ashton United Gainsborough
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ashton United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Gainsborough has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Ashton United's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Difficult form: Gainsborough registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ashton United VS Gainsborough
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Ashton United
(Home) 26 Sept
Warrington Town
2 : 3 Ashton United
19 Sept
Buxton
1 : 0 Ashton United
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
05 Sept
Whitby
2 : 5 Ashton United
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0 Ashton United
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Ashton United
0 : 1 Cleethorpes
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1 Ilkeston
18 Aug
Ashton United
2 : 0 Whitby
08 Aug
Ashton United
4 : 1 Lancaster
Page 1 of 3
Gainsborough
(Away) 03 Oct
Gainsborough
2 : 3 Anstey Nomads
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Gainsborough
0 : 2 Avro
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bury FC
4 : 3 Gainsborough
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
05 Sept
Sherwood Colliery
2 : 4 Gainsborough
28 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 2 Gainsborough
25 Aug
Quorn
2 : 2 Gainsborough
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Redcar Athletic | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 22:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Cleethorpes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 26:7 | 24 |
| 3 | Avro | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 28:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Workington | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 20 |
| 5 | Guiseley | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22:11 | 19 |
| 6 | Warrington Rylands | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:14 | 19 |
| 7 | Warrington Town | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 18:14 | 17 |
| 8 | Bury FC | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19:8 | 16 |
| 9 | Curzon Ashton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 16 |
| 10 | Lancaster | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 13:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Alfreton | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 12 | Hyde | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Gainsborough | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:12 | 13 |
| 14 | Whitby | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15:26 | 12 |
| 15 | Ashton United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 11 |
| 16 | AFC Emley | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10:22 | 10 |
| 17 | Leek Town | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | 9 |
| 18 | Quorn | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 16:25 | 9 |
| 19 | Bamber Bridge | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 16:31 | 9 |
| 20 | Stockton | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 14:22 | 8 |
| 21 | Ilkeston | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:24 | 7 |
| 22 | United of Manchester | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | 5 |
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
