Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASK St.Valentin vs Friedburg

Austria Austria

Oberosterreich
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASK St.Valentin host Friedburg in the Oberosterreich. Friedburg are expected to control this from the start. Recent numbers: ASK St.Valentin at 0.97 goals for, 2.2 against; Friedburg at 2.44 for, 1.59 against. Past meetings favor Friedburg slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 17, 2025, ending 7:0. xG projections (1.13 - 2.13) back Friedburg to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
ASK St.Valentin
35%
Draws
42%
Friedburg
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Friedburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Friedburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Friedburg taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
ASK St.Valentin Clean Sheet 10%
Friedburg Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASK St.Valentin Friedburg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.97 2.44
Goals Conceded 2.2 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2025 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs ASK St.Valentin
7:0
Oct 12, 2024 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Friedburg
0:0
May 31, 2024 Oberosterreich
ASK St.Valentin vs Friedburg
2:2
Nov 4, 2023 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs ASK St.Valentin
3:1
May 20, 2023 Oberosterreich
Friedburg vs ASK St.Valentin
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASK St.Valentin 18 / 100
Friedburg 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASK St.Valentin Friedburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friedburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Friedburg has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: ASK St.Valentin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

ASK St.Valentin's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASK St.Valentin VS Friedburg
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

ASK St.Valentin

(Home)
18 Sept
Gmunden
4 : 1
ASK St.Valentin
11 Sept
ASK St.Valentin
2 : 1
Sportunion St. Martin im Muhlreis
04 Sept
Vocklamarkt
2 : 2
ASK St.Valentin
27 Aug
ASK St.Valentin
0 : 0
Andorf
21 Aug
Union Unis Gschwandt
0 : 0
ASK St.Valentin
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Friedburg

(Away)
11 Sept
Friedburg
2 : 1
Andorf
05 Sept
Bad Ischl
2 : 2
Friedburg
01 Sept
Union Weisskirchen
2 : 2
Friedburg
28 Aug
Friedburg
5 : 1
Pregarten
14 Aug
Friedburg
3 : 2
Union Edelweiss Linz
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