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ASKO Kara vs Diarra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup
ASKO Kara Logo

ASKO Kara

1 - 0
FT
Diarra Logo

Diarra

Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
ASKO Kara
20%
Draws
32%
Diarra
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ASKO Kara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • ASKO Kara have won more games recently than Diarra.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on ASKO Kara taking it.
  • ASKO Kara have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor ASKO Kara, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
ASKO Kara Clean Sheet 68%
Diarra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASKO Kara Diarra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 20 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.73 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.82 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
ASKO Kara vs Diarra
1:0
Oct 18, 2026 CAF Confederation Cup
Diarra vs ASKO Kara
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASKO Kara 95 / 100
Diarra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASKO Kara Diarra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASKO Kara Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASKO Kara scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

ASKO Kara went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Diarra conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

ASKO Kara VS Diarra
2.14 Goals Scored 1.38
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

ASKO Kara

(Home)
25 Oct
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Diarra
18 Oct
Diarra
3 : 2
ASKO Kara
13 Sept
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
AS ZAM
05 Sept
AS ZAM
0 : 5
ASKO Kara
30 May
ASKO Kara
3 : 0
Barracuda
Page 1 of 6

Diarra

(Away)
02 Nov
Diarra
0 : 0
Djoliba
25 Oct
ASKO Kara
1 : 0
Diarra
18 Oct
Diarra
3 : 2
ASKO Kara
13 Sept
Nations FC
1 : 1
Diarra
05 Sept
Diarra
1 : 0
Nations FC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Mogadishu City 1
Kitara 4
TBD -
Al Ahly -
ZED FC 5
ASAS 1
TBD -
Azam -
Hilal Alsahil 3
Welwalo Adigrat 4
KMKM 0
Al Ahly Tripoli 7
Madani 2
Tusker 3
Al-Ghazala 1
Singida Black Stars 10
Panthers 5
ASPAC 5
TBD -
USM Alger -
AS Psi 2
Korhogo 4
TBD -
FAR Rabat -
Douane 3
Hafia 2
TBD -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 3
UDIB 1
TBD -
Raja Casablanca -
Academie de FAD 3
East End Lions 3
Shooting 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Diambars de Saly 2
Vitesse 1
Real Bamako 2
Diarra 2
Nations FC 1
AS ZAM 0
ASKO Kara 6
UNAM 1
Kabuscorp 5
TBD -
AS Maniema -
Red Arrows 4
Inate FC Rouge Vakinakaratra 0
TBD -
Kaizer Chiefs -
Durban City 3
Rukinzo 1
Port Louis 2
Jwaneng Galaxy 1
Panthere 1
Rayon Sport 1
Atomic Ngome 0
Associacao Black Bulls 1
Virunga 1
Bazar Brothers 0
Green Mamba 0
Primeiro de Agosto 4
Final
Kitara 1
Al Ahly 6
ZED FC 1
Azam 2
Welwalo Adigrat 1
Al Ahly Tripoli 8
Tusker 1
Singida Black Stars 2
Panthers -
USM Alger -
Korhogo 1
FAR Rabat 2
Douane -
CR Belouizdad -
El Kanemi Warriors 2
Raja Casablanca 4
Academie de FAD 1
CS Sfaxien 2
Zarzis 3
Real Bamako 5
Diarra 3
ASKO Kara 3
Kabuscorp 2
AS Maniema 8
Red Arrows 2
Kaizer Chiefs 1
Durban City 6
Port Louis 1
Rayon Sport 2
Associacao Black Bulls 4
Virunga 1
Primeiro de Agosto 3