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ASM Oran vs USM Setif

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 2 2008/2009
ASM Oran Logo

ASM Oran

2 - 0
FT
USM Setif Logo

USM Setif

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 2 2008/2009 game between ASM Oran and USM Setif finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward ASM Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
ASM Oran
15%
Draws
34%
USM Setif
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASM Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • ASM Oran carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ASM Oran a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and ASM Oran have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
ASM Oran Clean Sheet 20%
USM Setif Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASM Oran USM Setif
Matches Played 43 33
Wins 28 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.28 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.63 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 26, 2014 Algeria Cup
ASM Oran vs USM Setif
2:1
Apr 2, 2010 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs USM Setif
1:0
Oct 20, 2009 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs ASM Oran
0:1
Mar 6, 2009 Ligue 2
ASM Oran vs USM Setif
2:0
Sep 19, 2008 Ligue 2
USM Setif vs ASM Oran
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASM Oran 40 / 100
USM Setif 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASM Oran USM Setif

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASM Oran Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: ASM Oran scored in 77% of their last 43 outings.

Defensive concern: USM Setif conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

ASM Oran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASM Oran VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

ASM Oran

(Home)
08 May
Adrar
1 : 4
ASM Oran
01 May
ASM Oran
0 : 1
RC Kouba
25 Apr
WA Mostaganem
1 : 0
ASM Oran
18 Apr
ASM Oran
1 : 0
Saida
10 Apr
Harrach
1 : 2
ASM Oran
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USM Setif

(Away)
11 Jan
USM Setif
0 : 1
Oran
04 Jan
ISC Tlemcen
1 : 3
USM Setif
18 Dec
Mohammadia SA
2 : 1
USM Setif
26 Dec
ASM Oran
2 : 1
USM Setif
13 Dec
Bechar Djedid
0 : 3
USM Setif
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tlemcen 32 20 7 5 58:18 67
2 Oran 32 17 9 6 33:18 60
3 CA Batna 32 15 9 8 42:29 54
4 Paradou 32 16 5 11 46:30 53
5 Mohammadia SA 32 16 4 12 34:30 52
6 ASM Oran 32 11 13 8 30:29 46
7 Mostaganem 32 13 7 12 42:43 46
8 Constantine 32 12 9 11 29:32 45
9 MO Constantine 32 13 5 14 33:32 44
10 Biskra 32 12 6 14 31:30 42
11 WR Bentalha 32 10 12 10 26:31 42
12 Bel Abbes 32 11 8 13 33:36 41
13 Skikda 32 11 7 14 28:38 40
14 OM Arzew 32 9 8 15 32:41 35
15 USM Setif 32 8 6 18 31:49 30
16 MO Bejaia 32 6 10 16 21:40 28
17 Annasser 32 6 7 19 25:48 25
Promotion - Ligue 1 2009/2010 (Main)