Sport Picks

Stadium Background

ASO Chlef vs USM Alger

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Mohamed Boumezrag Stadium, Chlef
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Tendeng A.
36' Event
Benchouya A.
46'
Sub
Radouani S. In: Mahrouz R.
Out: Radouani S.

AI Match Summary

ASO Chlef in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored ASO Chlef.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
ASO Chlef
35%
Draws
37%
USM Alger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • ASO Chlef haven't matched USM Alger's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans ASO Chlef's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
ASO Chlef Clean Sheet 18%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASO Chlef USM Alger
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 13
Draws 6 15
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.9 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.61 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Ligue 1
ASO Chlef vs USM Alger
0:0
May 25, 2024 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs ASO Chlef
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ASO Chlef Compare

Top Goalscorer Benchouya A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.47
Avg xA / game 0.3

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Tendeng A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASO Chlef 36 / 100
USM Alger 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASO Chlef USM Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASO Chlef found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

USM Alger has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

ASO Chlef went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASO Chlef VS USM Alger
0.6 Goals Scored 1.25
1.4 Goals Conceded 0.63
60% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASO Chlef

(Home)
05 Jun
MC Alger
2 : 0
ASO Chlef
20 May
ASO Chlef
1 : 2
Kabylie
07 May
Oran
1 : 0
ASO Chlef
17 Apr
ASO Chlef
1 : 0
Olympique Akbou
10 Apr
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 1
ASO Chlef
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USM Alger

(Away)
15 Aug
Club Africain
0 : 0
USM Alger
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)