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ASPAC vs Hodio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Benin Benin

Ligue 1 Stade de l'Amitié, Cotonou
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

ASPAC host Hodio in the Ligue 1. Little to choose between these two on current form. ASPAC have averaged 1.52 scored and 0.76 conceded recently, against Hodio's 1.28 scored and 0.9 conceded. Head-to-head, ASPAC have won 1 to Hodio's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.38, favoring ASPAC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
ASPAC
30%
Draws
23%
Hodio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASPAC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ASPAC come out ahead of Hodio on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Ligue 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
ASPAC Clean Sheet 17%
Hodio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ASPAC Hodio
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.52 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.76 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Hodio vs ASPAC
0:0
Dec 13, 2025 Ligue 1
ASPAC vs Hodio
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ASPAC 30 / 100
Hodio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ASPAC Hodio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASPAC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ASPAC scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Hodio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

ASPAC went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

ASPAC VS Hodio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

ASPAC

(Home)
04 Oct
ASPAC
2 : 0
Djeffa
26 Sept
Espoir Savalou
0 : 1
ASPAC
16 Sept
ASPAC
2 : 4
Panthers
10 Sept
Panthers
1 : 3
ASPAC
20 Jun
ASPAC
1 : 1
Cavaliers
Page 1 of 6

Hodio

(Away)
04 Oct
Sobemap
1 : 1
Hodio
27 Sept
Hodio
3 : 0
AS Cotonou
20 Jun
Hodio
1 : 1
Ayema
13 Jun
Espoir Savalou
2 : 1
Hodio
06 Jun
Hodio
0 : 1
Dynamo Abomey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Buffles du Borgou 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 ASPAC 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
3 Cavaliers 2 1 1 0 4:0 4
4 Hodio 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
5 Bani Ganse 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
6 Pantheres FC 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
7 Krake 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
8 ASVO 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
9 Ayema 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
10 Loto 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
11 AS Cotonou 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
12 Djeffa 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
13 Sobemap 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
14 Damissa 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
15 Coton FC 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Dragons 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
17 Espoir Savalou 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
18 Dynamo Abomey 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)