Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aspudden Tellus vs Newroz

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019
Aspudden Tellus Logo

Aspudden Tellus

1 - 2
FT
Newroz Logo

Newroz

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 game between Aspudden Tellus and Newroz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Aspudden Tellus
15%
Draws
8%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aspudden Tellus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Aspudden Tellus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Aspudden Tellus's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 20%
Newroz Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aspudden Tellus Newroz
Matches Played 30 20
Wins 9 5
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.33 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Newroz
1:2
Jun 3, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Newroz vs Aspudden Tellus
3:1
Oct 21, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Newroz vs Aspudden Tellus
1:1
Jun 16, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Newroz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aspudden Tellus 85 / 100
Newroz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aspudden Tellus Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newroz let in goals in 95% of their last 20 matches.

Aspudden Tellus's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Aspudden Tellus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Newroz
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 25%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aspudden Tellus

(Home)
12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0
Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
31 Jan
Newroz
0 : 5
Umea FC
17 Oct
Gute
2 : 0
Newroz
10 Oct
Newroz
0 : 4
Atvidaberg
03 Oct
Kumla
3 : 3
Newroz
26 Sept
Newroz
2 : 3
Huddinge
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 15 7 4 64:30 52
2 Motala 26 13 9 4 45:24 48
3 Assyriska FF 26 14 6 6 55:35 48
4 Enskede 26 14 4 8 50:44 46
5 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 10 8 8 52:30 38
6 Huddinge 26 10 6 10 57:51 36
7 Assyriska IF 26 10 6 10 46:49 36
8 Varmbols 26 11 3 12 46:50 36
9 Newroz 26 10 5 11 58:52 35
10 Tyreso 26 9 7 10 34:42 34
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 8 9 9 46:40 33
12 Aspudden Tellus 26 9 3 14 38:49 30
13 AFK Linkopings 26 8 2 16 50:69 26
14 Sodertalje FK 26 1 5 20 35:111 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)