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Aspudden Tellus vs Tyreso

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 game between Aspudden Tellus and Tyreso finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aspudden Tellus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aspudden Tellus
15%
Draws
42%
Tyreso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aspudden Tellus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aspudden Tellus come out ahead of Tyreso on wins alone.
  • Model gives Aspudden Tellus a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 18%
Tyreso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aspudden Tellus Tyreso
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.33 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.93 3.69
Expected Goals (xG) 2.54 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Tyreso
2:1
May 25, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Tyreso vs Aspudden Tellus
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aspudden Tellus 85 / 100
Tyreso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aspudden Tellus Tyreso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aspudden Tellus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tyreso conceded in 91% of 32 recent games.

Aspudden Tellus found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Aspudden Tellus has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tyreso
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Aspudden Tellus

(Home)
12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0
Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0
Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2
Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2
Newroz
Page 1 of 6

Tyreso

(Away)
23 Aug
Tyreso
1 : 2
Orebro
30 Jun
Tyreso
2 : 1
IFK Uppsala
28 Nov
Rynninge
2 : 6
Tyreso
20 Nov
Tyreso
1 : 0
Arameisk-Syrianska
13 Nov
Karlslund
7 : 0
Tyreso
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haninge 26 15 7 4 64:30 52
2 Motala 26 13 9 4 45:24 48
3 Assyriska FF 26 14 6 6 55:35 48
4 Enskede 26 14 4 8 50:44 46
5 FC Stockholm Internazionale 26 10 8 8 52:30 38
6 Huddinge 26 10 6 10 57:51 36
7 Assyriska IF 26 10 6 10 46:49 36
8 Varmbols 26 11 3 12 46:50 36
9 Newroz 26 10 5 11 58:52 35
10 Tyreso 26 9 7 10 34:42 34
11 Arameisk-Syrianska 26 8 9 9 46:40 33
12 Aspudden Tellus 26 9 3 14 38:49 30
13 AFK Linkopings 26 8 2 16 50:69 26
14 Sodertalje FK 26 1 5 20 35:111 8
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)