Sport Picks
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
Sweden
Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Division 2 - Södra Svealand 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aspudden Tellus
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Aspudden Tellus lately — more wins on the board than Varmbols.
- Aspudden Tellus are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aspudden Tellus Clean Sheet 20%
Varmbols Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aspudden Tellus | Varmbols |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 26 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 2.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.67 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 22, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Aspudden Tellus
1:2
May 29, 2019 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
2:2
Aug 25, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
0:2
May 5, 2018 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Varmbols vs Aspudden Tellus
1:3
Aug 20, 2016 Division 2 - Södra Svealand
Aspudden Tellus vs Varmbols
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aspudden Tellus 85 / 100
Varmbols 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aspudden Tellus Varmbols
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Varmbols's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.
Varmbols lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Aspudden Tellus scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Varmbols
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aspudden Tellus
(Home) 12 Oct
Motala
3 : 0 Aspudden Tellus
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0 Assyriska FF
28 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
1 : 2 Aspudden Tellus
22 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2 Aspudden Tellus
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2 Newroz
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 0 Assyriska FF
13 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
1 : 2 Newroz
07 Sept
Aspudden Tellus
2 : 1 Tyreso
24 Aug
Aspudden Tellus
4 : 0 Arameisk-Syrianska
09 Aug
Aspudden Tellus
3 : 1 AFK Linkopings
Page 1 of 3
Varmbols
(Away) 16 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 3 Syrianska
08 Oct
Arameisk-Syrianska
3 : 0 Varmbols
02 Oct
Varmbols
0 : 2 Trosa-Vagnharads SK
25 Sept
Varmbols
1 : 2 IFK Eskilstuna
18 Sept
Assyriska FF
3 : 0 Varmbols
Page 1 of 7
08 Oct
Arameisk-Syrianska
3 : 0 Varmbols
18 Sept
Assyriska FF
3 : 0 Varmbols
11 Sept
Enskede
0 : 0 Varmbols
27 Aug
Huddinge
5 : 0 Varmbols
13 Aug
Nykopings
4 : 1 Varmbols
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Haninge | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 64:30 | 52 |
| 2 | Motala | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 45:24 | 48 |
| 3 | Assyriska FF | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 55:35 | 48 |
| 4 | Enskede | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 50:44 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 52:30 | 38 |
| 6 | Huddinge | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 57:51 | 36 |
| 7 | Assyriska IF | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 46:49 | 36 |
| 8 | Varmbols | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 46:50 | 36 |
| 9 | Newroz | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 58:52 | 35 |
| 10 | Tyreso | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 34:42 | 34 |
| 11 | Arameisk-Syrianska | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 46:40 | 33 |
| 12 | Aspudden Tellus | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 38:49 | 30 |
| 13 | AFK Linkopings | 26 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 50:69 | 26 |
| 14 | Sodertalje FK | 26 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35:111 | 8 |
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2019 (Promotion Group)
