Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Assabah and Al Watan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Watan.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Assabah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Assabah haven't matched Al Watan's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
Assabah Clean Sheet 20%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Assabah | Al Watan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al Watan
0:1
Dec 30, 2025 Premier League
Al Watan vs Assabah
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Assabah 31 / 100
Al Watan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Assabah Al Watan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Assabah Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Al Watan conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Assabah stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Al Watan lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Assabah scored in 56% of their last 18 games.
Scoring Trends
Assabah VS Al Watan
0.75 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Assabah
(Home) 23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0 Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3 Asswehly
08 Apr
Al Khmes
2 : 2 Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0 Abu Salim
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23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0 Al Madina
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3 Asswehly
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0 Abu Salim
03 Mar
Assabah
0 : 1 Al Watan
25 Feb
Assabah
0 : 0 Al Dahra
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Al Watan
(Away) 23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1 Al Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1 Al Watan
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0 Al Watan
03 Mar
Assabah
0 : 1 Al Watan
21 Feb
Al Madina
2 : 1 Al Watan
07 Feb
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0 Al Watan
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
