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Assaut vs Club Colonial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assaut host Club Colonial in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Assaut at 1.61 goals for, 1.32 against; Club Colonial at 1.66 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Club Colonial slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 10, 2022, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 1.13) point toward Club Colonial. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Assaut
20%
Draws
23%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assaut

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Club Colonial lately — more wins on the board than Assaut.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Assaut taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Assaut Clean Sheet 20%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assaut Club Colonial
Matches Played 28 32
Wins 11 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 10, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Assaut
0:0
Oct 15, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Club Colonial
1:1
Apr 1, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Assaut
2:1
Feb 19, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Club Colonial
1:1
Apr 28, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Assaut
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assaut 85 / 100
Club Colonial 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assaut Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assaut Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Assaut scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Club Colonial has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Assaut stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assaut VS Club Colonial
1.5 Goals Scored 2
0.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Assaut

(Home)
12 Sept
Assaut
5 : 0
Espoir
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
13 May
Assaut
1 : 2
Club Peleen
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Assaut
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
Page 1 of 6

Club Colonial

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)