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Stadium Background

Assaut vs Franciscain

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 game between Assaut and Franciscain finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Assaut
20%
Draws
48%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Assaut haven't matched Franciscain's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Franciscain have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Assaut Clean Sheet 14%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assaut Franciscain
Matches Played 32 37
Wins 12 29
Draws 8 3
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.44 2.27
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.78
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:2
Oct 1, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Franciscain
3:2
May 14, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Assaut vs Franciscain
3:4
Apr 7, 2022 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:1
May 25, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Assaut
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assaut 31 / 100
Franciscain 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assaut Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Assaut scored in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Assaut stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Franciscain conceded in 57% of 37 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Assaut VS Franciscain
0.5 Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Assaut

(Home)
05 Sept
Assaut
1 : 1
RC Riviere-Pilote
13 May
Assaut
1 : 2
Club Peleen
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Assaut
29 Apr
Assaut
3 : 0
Good Luck
22 Apr
Trenelle
0 : 0
Assaut
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Franciscain

(Away)
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
09 May
Club Peleen
0 : 2
Franciscain
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Golden Lion 18 13 4 1 55:17 61
2 Trenelle 18 11 4 3 33:15 55
3 Robert 18 10 3 5 22:16 51
4 Samaritaine 18 9 5 4 31:15 50
5 Diamantinoise 18 5 9 4 25:23 42
6 RC Saint Joseph 18 5 8 5 28:20 41
7 RC Lorrain 18 5 4 9 21:30 37
8 Olympique du Marin 18 3 6 9 18:30 33
9 RC Riviere-Pilote 18 4 1 13 18:45 31
10 Eclair de Riviere-Salee 18 2 2 14 11:51 26
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Colonial 18 14 4 0 46:12 64
2 Franciscain 18 12 4 2 55:18 58
3 Aiglon Lamentin 18 11 3 4 30:17 54
4 CS Case-Pilote 18 8 3 7 28:25 45
5 Golden Star 18 7 6 5 22:20 45
6 Assaut 18 6 5 7 22:24 41
7 US Riveraine 18 5 5 8 21:20 38
8 Essor-Prechotain 18 4 2 12 22:52 32
9 New Star Ducos 18 2 7 9 10:34 31
10 Monnerot 18 0 3 15 8:42 21
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Trophee Gerard Janvion 2021/2022 (Relegation)