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Assiden vs Baerum 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Assiden in this Division 3 - Group 4 2015 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Assiden.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Assiden
15%
Draws
85%
Baerum 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baerum 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Assiden lately — more wins on the board than Baerum 2.
  • Baerum 2 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Assiden have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Assiden Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assiden Baerum 2
Matches Played 46 37
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 25 20
Goals Scored 2.22 2.14
Goals Conceded 2.35 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Assiden
1:7
Jun 13, 2016 Division 3 - Group 4
Assiden vs Baerum 2
3:0
Oct 12, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Assiden vs Baerum 2
5:1
Jun 22, 2015 Division 3 - Group 4
Baerum 2 vs Assiden
1:4
Aug 25, 2014 Division 3 - Group 4
Assiden vs Baerum 2
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assiden 14 / 100
Baerum 2 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assiden Baerum 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baerum 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baerum 2 let in goals in 86% of their last 37 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Assiden scored in 78% of their last 46 outings.

Baerum 2 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assiden VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Assiden

(Home)
22 Aug
Assiden
0 : 4
Notodden
26 Oct
Lillehammer
4 : 2
Assiden
19 Oct
Assiden
3 : 4
Lillestrom 2
11 Oct
Bjorkelangen
3 : 1
Assiden
05 Oct
Assiden
1 : 5
Lorenskog
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Baerum 2

(Away)
22 Oct
Holmen
6 : 1
Baerum 2
15 Oct
Baerum 2
4 : 0
Kongsberg
10 Oct
Ready
1 : 1
Baerum 2
03 Oct
Baerum 2
1 : 7
Assiden
27 Sept
Drammen
1 : 5
Baerum 2
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