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Assisense vs Elosport

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2016
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AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2016 game between Assisense and Elosport finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Assisense
35%
Draws
19%
Elosport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Assisense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Assisense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Assisense a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paulista A4 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Assisense Clean Sheet 18%
Elosport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assisense Elosport
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 3
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 1.38 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.31 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Elosport
3:1
Apr 14, 2019 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Assisense
0:2
Jul 17, 2016 Paulista A4
Assisense vs Elosport
0:0
May 29, 2016 Paulista A4
Elosport vs Assisense
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assisense 85 / 100
Elosport 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assisense Elosport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Assisense's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Elosport conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Assisense went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Assisense VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Assisense

(Home)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 7

Elosport

(Away)
14 Nov
Elosport
0 : 2
Independente SP
11 Nov
Rio Branco SP
2 : 2
Elosport
08 Nov
Elosport
1 : 2
Uniao Barbarense
04 Nov
AA Itarare
4 : 2
Elosport
28 Oct
Independente SP
2 : 2
Elosport
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gremio Prudente 14 10 2 2 36:6 32
2 Vocem 14 10 2 2 32:13 32
3 Santacruzense 14 9 2 3 27:13 29
4 Tupa 14 7 6 1 22:11 27
5 Elosport 14 4 3 7 12:20 15
6 Assisense 14 3 3 8 12:29 12
7 Osvaldo Cruz 14 2 0 12 13:39 6
8 Presidente Prudente 14 1 2 11 13:36 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 14 9 4 1 29:10 31
2 XV de Jau 14 7 4 3 24:15 25
3 Tanabi 14 6 4 4 25:20 22
4 Bandeirante 14 6 3 5 22:28 21
5 Andradina Esporte Clube 14 4 5 5 24:26 17
6 America SP 14 4 4 6 19:23 16
7 Jose Bonifacio EC 14 3 3 8 14:20 12
8 AEA Aracatuba 14 2 3 9 18:33 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Diadema 14 9 4 1 30:9 31
2 Desportivo 14 9 2 3 24:12 29
3 Taboao da Serra 14 8 2 4 35:20 26
4 SKA Brasil 14 7 3 4 21:18 24
5 CA Lemense 14 5 3 6 24:18 18
6 Barcelona SP 14 3 3 8 7:26 12
7 Amparo SP 14 3 1 10 17:29 10
8 Palmeirinha SP 14 3 0 11 10:36 9
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa Santista 14 9 5 0 31:9 32
2 Mauaense 14 8 4 2 25:9 28
3 Guarulhos 14 8 1 5 31:24 25
4 Jabaquara 14 6 3 5 20:14 21
5 EC Sao Bernardo 14 6 2 6 26:22 20
6 Manthiqueira 14 5 2 7 15:20 17
7 Uniao Mogi 14 2 2 10 9:33 8
8 Atletico Mogi 14 2 1 11 6:32 7
Promotion - Paulista A4 2016 (Second stage)