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Assisense vs Riopretano

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nery G.
40' Event
Cordeiro A.
44' Event
Edu

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Assisense and Riopretano finished 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Assisense
35%
Draws
32%
Riopretano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Assisense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Assisense are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Assisense Clean Sheet 20%
Riopretano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assisense Riopretano
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 9 1
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.3 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Riopretano
4:4
May 17, 2026 Paulista B
Riopretano vs Assisense
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assisense Compare

Top Goalscorer Da Ora
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cordeiro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Riopretano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nery G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assisense 40 / 100
Riopretano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assisense Riopretano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Assisense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Riopretano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 10 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Assisense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Assisense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Assisense VS Riopretano
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Assisense

(Home)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6

Riopretano

(Away)
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Riopretano
0 : 1
Tupa
07 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 1
Riopretano
30 May
America SP
2 : 0
Riopretano
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)