Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Assisense vs Santa Fe SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Mendes S.
20'
Felipe T.
25' Event
Henrique L.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista B game between Assisense and Santa Fe SP finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Assisense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Assisense
20%
Draws
30%
Santa Fe SP
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assisense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Assisense come out ahead of Santa Fe SP on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Assisense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Assisense Clean Sheet 20%
Santa Fe SP Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Assisense Santa Fe SP
Matches Played 30 10
Wins 9 2
Draws 10 0
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 Paulista B
Assisense vs Santa Fe SP
4:2
May 1, 2026 Paulista B
Santa Fe SP vs Assisense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Assisense Compare

Top Goalscorer Mendes S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Ora
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Santa Fe SP Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Assisense 85 / 100
Santa Fe SP 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Assisense Santa Fe SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Fe SP conceded in 100% of 10 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Assisense scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Assisense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Assisense VS Santa Fe SP
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Assisense

(Home)
04 Jul
Matonense
0 : 0
Assisense
27 Jun
Assisense
0 : 1
Matonense
20 Jun
Assisense
4 : 4
Riopretano
14 Jun
Jose Bonifacio EC
1 : 0
Assisense
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 6

Santa Fe SP

(Away)
20 Jun
Tupa
1 : 2
Santa Fe SP
12 Jun
Santa Fe SP
1 : 3
America SP
05 Jun
Assisense
4 : 2
Santa Fe SP
29 May
Santa Fe SP
0 : 2
Jose Bonifacio EC
24 May
Riopretano
2 : 1
Santa Fe SP
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jose Bonifacio EC 10 6 4 0 17:6 22
2 America SP 10 5 4 1 13:7 19
3 Assisense 10 3 5 2 17:15 14
4 Tupa 10 4 1 5 14:16 13
5 Riopretano 10 1 4 5 9:16 7
6 Santa Fe SP 10 2 0 8 10:20 6
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independente SP 10 8 0 2 37:7 24
2 Matonense 10 7 1 2 28:10 22
3 Sao Carlos 10 4 3 3 19:11 15
4 Santacruzense 10 4 2 4 19:13 14
5 Mogi Mirim 10 4 0 6 15:15 12
6 Catanduvense 10 0 0 10 4:66 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 10 7 2 1 13:6 23
2 Paulinense 10 5 0 5 9:16 15
3 Audax-SP 10 5 1 4 15:9 13
4 Paulinia FU 10 3 1 6 11:14 10
5 Votoraty SP 10 2 1 7 12:19 7
6 Guarulhos 10 5 1 4 19:15 4
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itaqua 10 8 1 1 21:6 25
2 Maua FC 10 4 4 2 20:15 16
3 Uniao Mogi 10 5 2 3 14:13 14
4 Manthiqueira 10 4 2 4 17:17 14
5 Mauaense 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
6 Barcelona SP 10 0 0 10 5:26 0
Promotion - Paulista B (Play Offs)