Sport Picks
Associacao Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mozambique
Mocambola 
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola game between Associacao Black Bulls and Baia de Pemba finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Associacao Black Bulls.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Associacao Black Bulls
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Associacao Black Bulls come out ahead of Baia de Pemba on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Associacao Black Bulls's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Associacao Black Bulls here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Associacao Black Bulls Clean Sheet 68%
Baia de Pemba Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Associacao Black Bulls | Baia de Pemba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 15 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 2 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.44 | 0.65 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba
3:2
May 25, 2025 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Associacao Black Bulls
2:1
Oct 30, 2024 Mocambola
Baia de Pemba vs Associacao Black Bulls
0:1
Apr 27, 2024 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs Baia de Pemba
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Associacao Black Bulls 50 / 100
Baia de Pemba 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Associacao Black Bulls Baia de Pemba
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Associacao Black Bulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Associacao Black Bulls remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Associacao Black Bulls's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Baia de Pemba has conceded goals in 58% of their last 26 outings.
Scoring Trends
Associacao Black Bulls VS Baia de Pemba
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Associacao Black Bulls
(Home) 11 Oct
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 2 ENH Vilankulo
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2 Associacao Black Bulls
12 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0 Atomic Ngome
05 Sept
Atomic Ngome
0 : 1 Associacao Black Bulls
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 2 ENH Vilankulo
12 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0 Atomic Ngome
02 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 1 Chingale de Tete
29 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
3 : 1 UD Songo
21 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 0 Maxaquene
Page 1 of 3
Baia de Pemba
(Away) 10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 UD Songo
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
02 Sept
Baia de Pemba
2 : 1 Ferroviario Lichinga
25 Aug
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
22 Aug
Baia de Pemba
0 : 0 Ferroviario Nampula
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
ENH Vilankulo
2 : 0 Baia de Pemba
09 Aug
Associacao Black Bulls
1 : 0 Baia de Pemba
06 Aug
Ferroviario Maputo
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
01 Jul
Chingale de Tete
0 : 0 Baia de Pemba
26 Jun
UD Songo
1 : 1 Baia de Pemba
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Associacao Black Bulls | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 28:9 | 44 |
| 2 | Costa do Sol | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 28:12 | 40 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 23:15 | 34 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Nampula | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 15:11 | 29 |
| 6 | UD Songo | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 21:16 | 28 |
| 7 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 16:15 | 28 |
| 8 | Ferroviario Nacala | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 11:14 | 23 |
| 9 | Baia de Pemba | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 10:12 | 22 |
| 10 | ENH Vilankulo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 11 | AD Pemba | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10:19 | 20 |
| 12 | Sofala | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10:22 | 18 |
| 13 | Chingale de Tete | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 5:18 | 12 |
| 14 | Maxaquene | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 8:24 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
