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Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mozambique Mozambique

Mocambola
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Associacao Black Bulls in this Mocambola matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Associacao Black Bulls.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Associacao Black Bulls
30%
Draws
19%
UD Songo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Associacao Black Bulls

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Songo haven't matched Associacao Black Bulls's recent run of results.
  • Associacao Black Bulls are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Mocambola form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Associacao Black Bulls Clean Sheet 68%
UD Songo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Associacao Black Bulls UD Songo
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 10 12
Losses 2 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
3:1
May 17, 2026 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
1:1
Mar 21, 2026 Super Cup
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
2:3
Dec 16, 2025 Mocambola
Associacao Black Bulls vs UD Songo
2:2
Aug 24, 2025 Mocambola
UD Songo vs Associacao Black Bulls
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Associacao Black Bulls 59 / 100
UD Songo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Associacao Black Bulls UD Songo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Associacao Black Bulls Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Associacao Black Bulls has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Associacao Black Bulls scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

UD Songo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Associacao Black Bulls VS UD Songo
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Associacao Black Bulls

(Home)
11 Oct
Associacao Black Bulls
2 : 2
ENH Vilankulo
20 Sept
Sofala
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
16 Sept
Ferroviario Beira
0 : 2
Associacao Black Bulls
12 Sept
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0
Atomic Ngome
05 Sept
Atomic Ngome
0 : 1
Associacao Black Bulls
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UD Songo

(Away)
10 Oct
Baia de Pemba
1 : 0
UD Songo
22 Sept
UD Songo
4 : 0
Maxaquene
19 Sept
UD Songo
1 : 2
Costa do Sol
12 Sept
Petro Atletico
2 : 2
UD Songo
06 Sept
UD Songo
0 : 1
Petro Atletico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Associacao Black Bulls 19 13 5 1 28:9 44
2 Costa do Sol 20 12 4 4 28:12 40
3 Ferroviario Beira 20 9 7 4 23:15 34
4 Ferroviario Nampula 18 9 4 5 21:21 31
5 Ferroviario Maputo 20 8 5 7 15:11 29
6 UD Songo 20 6 10 4 21:16 28
7 Ferroviario Lichinga 18 8 4 6 16:15 28
8 Ferroviario Nacala 18 6 5 7 11:14 23
9 Baia de Pemba 18 5 7 6 10:12 22
10 ENH Vilankulo 18 4 8 6 19:17 20
11 AD Pemba 18 6 2 10 10:19 20
12 Sofala 20 4 6 10 10:22 18
13 Chingale de Tete 20 2 6 12 5:18 12
14 Maxaquene 19 1 7 11 8:24 10
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)