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Asswehly vs Al Watan

Libya Libya

Premier League Misurata Stadium, Misrata
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Asswehly and Al Watan finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Watan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Asswehly
15%
Draws
27%
Al Watan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Asswehly

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Asswehly come out ahead of Al Watan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Asswehly a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 8.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 4%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Asswehly Clean Sheet 20%
Al Watan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Asswehly Al Watan
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 21 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.75 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.69 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Premier League
Asswehly vs Al Watan
0:1
Feb 2, 2026 Premier League
Al Watan vs Asswehly
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Asswehly 85 / 100
Al Watan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Asswehly Al Watan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Asswehly Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Asswehly's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Solid form: Asswehly remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Al Watan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Asswehly VS Al Watan
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.33
63% Over 1.5 33%
38% Over 2.5 33%
0% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Asswehly

(Home)
13 Sept
KVZ
0 : 3
Asswehly
04 Sept
Asswehly
1 : 0
KVZ
06 Jun
Asswehly
2 : 1
Al Nasr
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0
Asswehly
20 May
Al Madina
0 : 3
Asswehly
Page 1 of 7

Al Watan

(Away)
23 Apr
Al Watan
4 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
18 Apr
Asswehly
0 : 1
Al Watan
13 Apr
Al Watan
0 : 1
Al-Khmes
09 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 0
Al Watan
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)